第五次作业答案
发布时间:2010-12-27 18:01:10
发布时间:2010-12-27 18:01:10
第五次作业答案
1.
a) In an M&M frictionless environment, where there are no taxes and contracts are costless to make and enforce, the wealth of the shareholders is the same no matter what capital structure the firm adopts. In such an environment, neither the stock price nor shareholders' wealth would be affected. In the real world Divido's management might be able to create shareholder value by issuing debt and repurchasing shares in two ways:
By reducing corporate taxes
By reducing the free cash flow available to management and exposing itself to greater market discipline.
b) The formula for EPS without debt is
If we assume the interest rate is 6% (conclusions will not change if you assume different interest rates), then the interest payments will be $1.2 million per year () regardless the realised value of EBIT. The number of shares outstanding after exchanging debt for equity will be 800,000. EPS with debt is therefore
The probability distribution of Divido's EBIT and EPS is as follows:
State of Economy | EBIT (million) | All Equity Financing | With $20 million Debt | |||
EPS (1 million shares) | Net Earnings (million) | EPS (800, 000 shares) | ||||
Bad | $4 | $4 | $2.8 | $3.5 | ||
Fair | $12 | $12 | $10.8 | $13.5 | ||
Good | $20 | $20 | $18.8 | $23.5 | ||
Mean | $12 | $13.5 | ||||
Standard Deviation | $6.53 | $8.16 | ||||
Although the shares of stock become riskier with debt financing, the expected earnings per share go up. In a frictionless financial environment, the net effect is to leave the price of stock unchanged.
2.
a) The unlevered free cash flow for the Tango Shoes Division would be (in millions):
Sales: $10
Variable Costs $5.5
Depreciation: $1
Profit before Tax: $3.5
Taxes (@40%) $1.4
After-tax Profit: $2.1
Depreciation: $1
Investment: $1
Free Cash Flow: $2.1 million
If unlevered, Tango is worth: million
b) If Tango issued $5 million debt, its total value would be:
Tango equity: $10.125 million
c) The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is given by (Bodie and Merton, p436)
And
(Alternatively, you can use equation 16.1 of Bodie and Merton, p435)
d) The expected net income is: million
The value of equity: million
3.
a) Current price per share:
b) Amount to borrow: 40% of $13.125 million = $5.25 million
PV of tax shield: million
Value of levered firm: 13.125 + 2.1 = $12.225 million
Value of equity: 15.225 5.25 = $9.975 million
The number of shares repurchased: million
c) Foxtron's management must trade off the tax saving due to additional debt financing against the costs of financial distress that rise with the degree of debt financing.
4.
The valuation process involves four steps:
Step 1: Calculating the present value of unlevered cash flows for 1989-93.
The unlevered cash flows for 1989-93 are shown in the last line of Table 1.
TABLE 1. RJR Operating Cash Flows (in $millions)
1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | |
Operating income | $2,620 | $3,410 | $3,645 | $3,950 | $4,310 |
Tax on operating income | 891 | 1,142 | 1,222 | 1,326 | 1,448 |
After-tax operating income | 1,729 | 2,268 | 2,423 | 2,624 | 2,862 |
Add back depreciation | 449 | 475 | 475 | 475 | 475 |
Less capital expenditures | 522 | 512 | 525 | 538 | 551 |
Less change in working capital | (203) | (275) | 200 | 225 | 250 |
Add proceeds from asset sales | 3,545 | 1,805 |
|
|
|
Unlevered cash flow (UCF) | $5,404 | $4,311 | $2,173 | $2,336 | $2,536 |
说明:这里给的是根据原始文献中的数据的计算结果。在原始文献中的“Change in working capital”一项与作业中给出的值的符号是相反的。这是编辑此道题时出现的错误之一,在此表示歉意。
These flows are discounted by the required asset return,r0,which is 14 percent. The value as of the end of 1988 of the unlevered cash flows expected from 1989 through 1993 is
Step 2: Calculating the present value of the unlevered cash flows beyond 1993(i.e. unlevered terminal value) .
With the indications given in Table 4.3, it’s easy to calculate the value, as of the end of 1993, which is:
This translates to a 1988 value of
Therefore, the total unlevered value of the firm is ($12.224+$12.333=) $24.557 billion.
To calculate the total buyout value, we must add the interest tax shields expected to be realized by debt financing.
Step 3: Calculating the present value of interest tax shields for 1989-93.
It’s easy to calculate interest tax shields for 1989-93 according to Table 4.2:
TABLE 2. Tax Shields for 1989-93 (in $millions)
1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | |
Interest expenses | $3,384 | $3,004 | $3,111 | $3,294 | $3,483 |
Interest tax shields(TC=34%) | 1,151 | 1,021 | 1,058 | 1,120 | 1,184 |
The discounted value of these tax shields is :
Step 4: Calculating the present value of interest tax shields beyond 1993.
Finally, we must calculate the value of tax shields associated with debt used to finance the operations of the company after 1993. Since it’s assumed that debt will be maintained at 25 percent of the value of the firm after 1993, it is appropriate to use the WACC method to calculate a terminal value for the firm at the target capital structure. This in turn can be decomposed into an all-equity value and a value from tax shields.
First, we can calculate its WACC, which is:
.
Second, use it to calculate the levered terminal value as of the end of 1993:
Since the levered value of the company is the sum of the unlevered value plus the value of interest tax shields, it is the case that
Value of tax shields (end 1993) = VL(end 1993) – VU(end 1993)
= $26.654 billion - $23.746 billion
= $2.908 billion
Then, we again discount by the borrowing rate of 13.5 percent to get
The total value of interest tax shields therefore equals ($3.877+$1.544)=$5.421 billion.
Adding all of these components together, the total value of RJR under the buyout proposal is 24.557+5.241=$29.978 billion. Deducting the $5 billion market value of assumed debt yields a value for equity of $24.978 billion, or $109.07 per share.
The above process are concluded in Table 3:
TABLE 3 RJR LBO Valuation (in $millions except share data)
1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | |
Unlevered cash flow (UCF) | $5,404 | $4,311 | $2,173 | $2,336 | $2,536 |
Terminal value:(3% growth after 1993) | |||||
Unlevered terminal value (UTV) | 23,746 | ||||
Terminal value at target debt | 26,654 | ||||
Tax shield in terminal value | 2,908 | ||||
Interest tax shields | 1,151 | 1,021 | 1,058 | 1,120 | 1,184 |
PV of UCF 1989-93 at 14% | 12,224 | ||||
PV of UTV at 14% | 12,333 | ||||
Total unlevered value | $24,557 | ||||
PV of tax shields 1989-93 at 13.5% | 3,877 | ||||
PV of tax shields in TV at 13.5% | 1,544 | ||||
Total value of tax shields | 5,421 | ||||
Total value | 29,978 | ||||
Less value of assumed debt | 5,000 | ||||
Value of equity | $24,978 | ||||
Number of shares | 229 million | ||||
Value per share | $109.07 | ||||
Concluding Comments on LBO Valuation Methods The WACC method is by far the most widely applied approach to capital budgeting. One could analyze an LBO and generate the results of the second section of this appendix using this technique, but it would be a much more difficult process. We have tried to show that the APV approach is the preferred way to analyze a transaction in which the capital structure is not stable over time.
Consider the WACC approach to valuing the KKR bid for RJR. One could discount the operating cash flows of RJR by a set of weighted average costs of capital and arrive at the same $30 billion total value for the company. To do this, one would need to calculate the appropriate rate for each year since the WACC rises as the buyout proceeds. This occurs because the value of the tax subsidy declines as debt principal is repaid. In other words, there is no single return that represents the cost of capital when the firm’s capital structure is changing.
There is also a theoretical problem with the WACC approach to valuing a buyout. To calculate the changing WACC, one must know the market value of a firm’s debt and equity. But if the debt and equity values are already known, the total market value of the company is also known. That is, one must know the value of the company to calculate the WACC. One must therefore resort to using book-value measures for debt and equity, or make assumptions about the evolution of their market values of their market values, in order to implement the WACC method.